Kenexa, a global provider of business solutions for human resources, today announced it has established a link between changes in the level of Employee Confidence and the rate of change in country-level unemployment rates on a quarterly basis. These results come from Kenexaís employee confidence study, a quarterly measure of worker opinions and a component of the forthcoming Kenexa Composite.
The results indicate that since the second quarter of 2008, as Employee Confidence improves, the rate of change (the amount of increase) in the unemployment rate has declined. As Employee Confidence has declined, the rate of change in the unemployment rate has increased.
A high level of Employee Confidence is achieved when an employee perceives their organization as being effectively managed with good business processes, competitively positioned with attractive products and believe they have a promising future within their organization, job security and skills that would be attractive to other employers outside their organization. Employee Confidence recorded the lowest scores in the first quarter of 2009. In contrast, the U.S. unemployment rate, until July of 2009, has been moving steadily higher.
In groundbreaking research, Kenexa has linked Employee Confidence across multiple organizations to ìbusinessî metrics that cross organization, industry and country levels, establishing linkages with GDP growth, bankruptcy filings and shareholderís total rate of return (TRR). For example, the Kenexa Research Institute has found that organizations with highly confident employees achieve approximately six times greater TRR than organizations whose employees are not confident.
A variety of studies has demonstrated the link between employee attitudes and business metrics such as sales per square foot, absenteeism, employee retention, and customer retention and satisfaction. One thing much of this previous work has in common is that the findings apply to only one organization at a time.
Jeffrey Saltzman, principal at Kenexa, stated, ìWe put our heads together and thought about how employee attitudes toward their organizationís performance and their own personal situation would be reflected in the unemployment rate. What we came up with is that we should be looking at the change in the rate of increase or decline in unemployment quarter-to-quarter and the change in Employee Confidence levels in those corresponding quarters.î
Saltzman continued, ìWhat we fundamentally believe is that when you ask the workers, the people in the trenches, ëhow is it going?í they know. If you select your sample appropriately, ask the right questions and analyze the results in a meaningful fashion, you are tapping into a group intelligence that enables you to generate valuable insights that can help organizations improve their performance. Whether that ëorganizationí is a department, a division, an entire company, a government entity or a country, the wisdom workers yield provides insight into where the more traditional ëhardí economic metrics, such as unemployment levels, GDP or bankruptcy filings will fall. Collecting and analyzing these data can be done relatively quickly and the insights gained can be made available well in advance of when the ëhardí metrics are traditionally available.î
The Kenexa Research Institute Asks: Can Employee Confidence Predict the Unemployment Rate?
Employee attitudes can influence and, therefore, predict how well their organization will perform
