Immediate job prospects for public sector forecast to grow

Despite Gordon Brownís announcement regarding job losses in various Whitehall departments, employers in the public sector as a whole are looking to expand their workforce for the three months until the end of June, according to survey results released by Manpower today. On balance, 20% of employers in the public sector intend to increase staffing levels for the quarter ahead. This result is higher than the second quarter average for the sector over the last 13 years.

Comments Ruth Hounslow, Head of Public Affairs at Manpower: Our survey is reporting that employers in the public sector for the three months ahead, will continue to provide for their current staffing needs on the basis of how they have operated in recent quarters.

There are over 5 million people working in the public sector. Brownís
speech highlights that there will be a gross reduction of 54,000 public sector posts by 2008 but after redeployment, a reduction of 40,500 staff. These cuts, over a four-year time period, should not have a negative affect on overall employer confidence in the sector. Indeed, despite the public emphasis on specific civil service job losses, the number of public sector jobs overall is still due to rise by 360,000 between 2003 and 2006.

As with many other sectors, it is struggling to find the right skills for the jobs available. Public sector employers have as much of a training and skills challenge as the private sector.

Anecdotal opinion suggests that employer confidence within the public sector is still buoyant and skilled workforces in much need as ever:

Comments Alan Warner, Director of People and Property for Hertfordshire County Council: From our experience as one of the largest recruiters of staff in Hertfordshire, it is highly likely that public sector hiring will continue as usual provided skilled people continue to come forward to help meet the positions we need to fill. You have to remember that we mainly employ people who are providing direct services to the community and in some cases for instance, social care that is particularly difficult. It is a constant pressure to get the right people into these very important jobs.

Unique in its predictive nature, the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey provides a forecast of employer hiring intentions for the quarter ahead: April to June 2004. The public sector falls under the community and social services category within the Manpower survey.

Within the sub-sectors making up the community and social services sector, 34% of employers in public admin and defence plan to take on staff, which is almost double the national average for job prospects in the UK (16%). Similarly, employers in the health sub-sector intend to add to their pay rolls for the three month until the end of June (23%), as do employers in the education sub-sector, despite recording a drop in hiring intentions from a quarter and year ago.

Adds Hounslow: There will be ongoing recruitment programmes in the education and health sectors as they continue to battle with skill shortages in these areas. The education sub-sector may be recording slightly deflated figures but this is not the time of the year when employers in education are likely to be recruiting. Schools tend not to recruit around Easter time and the lead into the summer vacation because of the nature of the school year.